China + Crude Oil = Momentum
If you have been following the energy markets lately you would have noticed that Light Sweet Crude hit an all time intraday high of $80.17 in electronic trading today. Whether the U.S. economic slowdown will put downward pressure on oil remains to be seen. I remain bullish on oil and crude oil trading volume. I am long both the NYMEX (NMX) and the Intercontinental Exchange (ICE). The global growth story will remain bullish for energy trading and demand. Today I increased my energy exposure with the addition of CNOOC (CEO), a Hong Kong based diversified energy company. CEO is more of a technical trade as it is one of the few energy stocks making 52-week highs.
Publicly Traded Chinese Energy Companies (Market Cap)
PetroChina (PTR) $260B
China Petroleum & Chemical Corp (SNP) $93B
CNOOC (CEO) $58B
I am long CEO, NMX, & ICE
Publicly Traded Chinese Energy Companies (Market Cap)
PetroChina (PTR) $260B
China Petroleum & Chemical Corp (SNP) $93B
CNOOC (CEO) $58B
I am long CEO, NMX, & ICE
posted by Big Ben at Wednesday, September 12, 2007
52 Comments:
Any ideas on what the down-side risk is in a recession that spreads across the globe? Right now, all analysts say oil may go down to the 40's in that scenario, which may not be so bad. But, what is the chance for it to go down to the 20's or below. We have large energy exposure with CanRoys and PetroChina.
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Looks like there was a nice trade in light crude over 80.20 today? Did you add any? Personally I'd like to see it take a breather before piling more on.
@ ks
I think it is unlikely for oil to even go down to the 20s even in a global depression. The reason is because Ben Bernanke will probably step up the money printing press before a depression can cause such a severe deflation of asset price.
Take a read of this article:
Money printing operations begin
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